PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 26%+2.5ptLíder entre 15 opções
Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
44,9 mil €
Liquidez
169,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
417
Variação 7d
+0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
9/03/26, 22:151/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
- Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.8pt100%
- August 25+1.1pt97%
- August 31+1.0pt89%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 502,7 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.9pt69%
- October 31-0.5pt42%
- September 3027%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
- August 31100%
- July 31-1.4pt0%
- Volume total
- € 420,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 205,2 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)+2.1pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt88.1%
- Yes-1.0pt11.9%
- Volume total
- € 2,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 97,5 mil
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+9 mais resultados
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 26% em 22 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? é resolvido?
- Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).