Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
One-OffMiddle EastUS PoliticsEleiçãoGeopolíticaPolítica3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 80.5%
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado11/03/26, 15:15 UTC1/01/27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Mojtaba Khamenei was announced by the Assembly of Experts as the new supreme leader on 8 March 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Mojtaba Khamenei remains Iran's supreme leader on 1 January 2027.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer the supreme leader by that date due to death, removal, resignation, or any other reason.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from Iran's government or credible international news sources confirming his status as supreme leader on the specified date.
- An election for the third supreme leader of Iran was held in early March 2026, following the assassination of Ali Khamenei on 28 February 2026 during the 2026 Iran war.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 81% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria