KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Gustavo Petro 100%Líder entre 35 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,6 mil €
Liquidez
962 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
13/12/25, 15:00 UTC2/01/27, 03:17 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:office or organization where person holds officeThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? · Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which leaders will leave office in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Gustavo Petro em 100% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which leaders will leave office in 2026? é resolvido?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Which leaders will leave office in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Which leaders will leave office in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets.