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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?
Manifold Markets

Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?

PolíticaIA6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Pedro Sanchez (Spain Prime Minister) 50.9%
Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores

36

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado ontem

Desatualizado
20/02/26, 23:0231/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Pedro Sanchez (Spain Prime Minister)51%

Regras

To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
  • If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
  • If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.