Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 00:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
45
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado20/02/26, 23:02 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsRegras
To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.
- Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
- If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Christopher Luxon 46%
