Previsão da comunidade atual
Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
40
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado20/02/26, 23:0231/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
100%
Regras
To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.
- Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
- If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Keir Starmer 100%
- Também disponível em Gemini — Which world leaders will leave office in 2026? · Viktor Orbán 100%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which World Leaders will be out in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) em 100% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? é resolvido?
- Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.
- Onde mais Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi, Gemini.