Previsão da comunidade atual
National coalition 53.6%-1.1ptLíder entre 4 opções
National coalition 53.6%-1.1ptPrevisores
49
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+4.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
2/01/26, 02:49 UTC6/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolves to the first government formation after the next New Zealand election (if it's postponed beyond 2026, resolves to the next election after that).
- "Other" might include a grand coalition containing both National and Labour, or a government of small parties without either major party.
- Labour/National need not be the largest party in their coalition for their respective options to resolve, and they may govern alone.
- "the named outcome" means that a new election happens without a non-caretaker government being formed.
- Update 2026-01-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Coalition governments include:
- Minority governments
