Previsão da comunidade atual
Labour 53%+8.8ptLíder entre 10 opções
Labour 53%+8.8ptPrevisores
28
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
22/08/24, 00:03 UTC2/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Parties with ministers inside cabinet are considered part of forming a government.
- Parties who do not have ministers inside cabinet are not considered part of the government for the resolution of this question.
- So, in 2020, a similar question would only resolve positively for Labour.
- In 2023, it would resolve positively for National, the named outcome, and ACT.
- I will add new parties on request from 1 January 2026 if they are officially registered, or as I judge to be worthwhile adding.
- Parties included so far are those that ran in both 2020 and 2023.
