Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 23:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
National Party 55%+1.0ptLíder entre 7 opções
National Party 55%+1.0ptPrevisores
25
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+6.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 59 minutos
Atrasado17/09/24, 05:51 UTC19/12/26, 10:59 UTC
Tendências
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The next New Zealand general election is to be held on or before Saturday, 19 December 2026, most likely in November 2026 although it could be called at any time.
- Will be resolved based on the results available at https://electionresults.govt.nz/.
- Resolution will be for the largest party, not necessarily the party that enters government.
- Largest party will be by number of seats, using party vote percent if there is a tie.