Previsão da comunidade atual
National 65.3%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado6/03/26, 06:39 UTC24/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on 7 November 2026.
- The market resolves to whichever main party (National or Labour) forms the government following the election.
- A party must demonstrate to the Governor-General that they have the confidence of the House by securing a majority of votes in a confidence motion and getting a budget through parliament.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General and the New Zealand government regarding which party leader is appointed Prime Minister.
- See: https://www.beehive.govt.nz/ and https://gg.govt.nz/
Mercados abertos
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-12.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Solana (SOL)-4.0pt30%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 593,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,9 mil
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
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POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 43
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume total
- € 271,5
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 101,4
- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
- A Manifold Markets cota National em 65% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election é resolvido?
- Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election deverá ser resolvido em 24 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria