Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolíticaOne-OffChessUS PoliticsEleiçãoEsportes6m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem atividade de negociação
Dados de 10 de set. de 2026, 19:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
National 0%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
31 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
10/09/26, 02:00 UTC15/03/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketRegras
If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test.
- A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand??
- A Kalshi cota National em 0% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? é resolvido?
- Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de março de 2027.
- Como Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.