Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolíticaOne-OffXadrezPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEsportes4m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 17:38 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Labour · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Preço registado
Labour 61%Líder entre 7 opções
Labour 61%Qualidade do mercado
21 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
14,2 €
Contratos em aberto
379,9 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
— / —
LabourSpread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado10/09/26, 02:00 UTC15/03/27, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Labour
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsWho will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
KalshiWhich coalition will form the next Swedish government?
PolymarketRegras
If a coalition that includes Labour makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test. A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description. These individual-party descriptions do not specify such an arrangement, so confidence and supply without a qualifying ministerial position does not count. If, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.
Regras de cada resultado
- Labour
- If a coalition that includes Labour makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- National
- If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If a coalition that includes Greens makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Zealand First
- If a coalition that includes New Zealand First makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ACT
- If a coalition that includes ACT makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Te Pāti Māori
- If a coalition that includes Te Pāti Māori makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Opportunity
- If a coalition that includes Opportunity makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.