Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
1.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoChessUS PoliticsEsportes1m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Green Party 62%+1.5ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
52 €
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1,7 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
11
Variação 7d
-26.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
29/04/26, 23:43 UTC7/11/26, 00:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the Governor-General after the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.