Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoChessUS PoliticsEsportes3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Labour Party 68%+4.5ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
25 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
330,3 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
4.0% / 72.0%
Spread
68.0 pt
Spread amploVariação 7d
-2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
29/04/26, 23:437/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Labour Party68%
Tendência de volume
$155 de jul.8d de dados22 de jul.
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A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the Governor-General after the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.