Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which parties will be part of the next Italian government??

A Manifold Markets cota Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia) em 76.4% em 19 de outubro de 2026.

Which parties will be part of the next Italian government?

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia) 76.4%

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Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

0.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 horas

Desatualizado

7/01/26, 18:49 UTC31/12/27, 18:47 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolution criteria

The next Italian general election will occur no later than 22 December 2027, though it may be called earlier as a snap election.
Each answer resolves YES if that party is part of the government coalition formed following the election.
Parties that are not part of the government coalition resolve NO.
If a party dissolves or merges before the election, it resolves N/A. Resolution will be based on official announcements from the Italian President's office or the Prime Minister regarding coalition composition.
The Meloni government is the current government of the Italian Republic, headed by Giorgia Meloni, leader of Brothers of Italy, and was sworn in on 22 October 2022.