KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
AfD · —
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Preço registado
AfD 59%Líder entre 7 opções
AfD 59%Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
75,8 €
Contratos em aberto
3,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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AfDSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
21/08/26, 19:00 UTC15/01/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · AfD
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketWill Saxony-Anhalt call a snap election in 2026?
KalshiWill the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
Manifold MarketsWill Ulrich Siegmund become the Prime Minister of Saxony-Anhalt by the end of the year (2026)?
Manifold MarketsWill the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elect a Ministerpraesident on or before 6 November 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
Regras de cada resultado
- AfD
- If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BSW
- If a coalition that includes BSW make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CDU
- If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If a coalition that includes Greens make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SPD
- If a coalition that includes SPD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- FDP
- If a coalition that includes FDP make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Die Linke
- If a coalition that includes Die Linke make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.