Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
2.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoOriente Médio2m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Gadi Eisenkot · —
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Preço registado
Gadi Eisenkot 54.5%Líder entre 7 opções
Gadi Eisenkot 54.5%Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto
5,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Gadi EisenkotSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
19/10/26, 16:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
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Fonte: Kalshi
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Profundidade de mercado · Gadi Eisenkot
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PolymarketRegras
If the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Times of Israel
- Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify. Only the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts. If the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No.
Regras de cada resultado
- Gadi Eisenkot
- If the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- If the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Naftali Bennett
- If the President of Israel gives Naftali Bennett the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amir Ohana
- If the President of Israel gives Amir Ohana the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yair Golan
- If the President of Israel gives Yair Golan the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yair Lapid
- If the President of Israel gives Yair Lapid the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Avigdor Lieberman
- If the President of Israel gives Avigdor Lieberman the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.