Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
GeopolíticaOne-OffPolíticaEuropeCrime & Justice5m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualDecember 31, 14%
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
8,8 €
Liquidez
7,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
25.0%
Spread amploVariação 7d
+2.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
19/05/26, 20:4531/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
December 31,14%
Tendência de volume
$105 de jul.14d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.