Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
GeopolíticaOne-OffPolíticaEuropaCrime e justiça2m
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Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 09:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
December 31, · —
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Referência guardada
December 31, 4%
December 31, 4%Qualidade do mercado
8 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
244,4 €
Baixa liquidezContratos em aberto
1,4 mil US$
Compra / Venda
— / —
December 31,Spread
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Comentários
15
Variação 7d
-0.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado19/05/26, 20:45 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
June 30,Perdeu
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 0,1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Maiores detentores
Carregando maiores detentores
Profundidade de mercado · December 31,
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Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.