Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffPolíticaEuropeCrime & Justice3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 9 de set. de 2026, 15:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31, 12%
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
7,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
- / 0.1%
Comentários
16
Variação 7d
-0.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
19/05/26, 20:45 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.