José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

1.0% (24h)RegulamentaçãoYearlyEurope Crime & Justice5m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

Sim 8%-0.0%

Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

345,2 €

Liquidez

10 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread amplo

Variação 7d

+0.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 14 minutos

19/05/26, 17:2331/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Yes8%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

Tendência de volume

$393

2 de jul.23d de dados26 de jul.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,493.99+0.65%

EthereumETH$1,887.23+1.59%

SolanaSOL$75.04+1.54%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.66%

HyperliquidHYPE$58.86+2.42%

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

1.0% (24h)RegulamentaçãoYearlyEurope Crime & Justice5m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

Sim 8%-0.0%

Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

345,2 €

Liquidez

10 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread amplo

Variação 7d

+0.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 14 minutos

19/05/26, 17:2331/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Yes8%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

Tendência de volume

$393

2 de jul.23d de dados26 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

0 €

Sim: 65%

KALSHI

Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?

1,3 mil €

Sim: 3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?

439,5 €

2024: 0.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?

429,1 €

Sim: 2.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

3,6 €

Sim: 5%

POLYMARKET

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

0 €

Sim: 3%

POLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,493.99+0.65%

EthereumETH$1,887.23+1.59%

SolanaSOL$75.04+1.54%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.66%

HyperliquidHYPE$58.86+2.42%

Notícias Relacionadas

HashKey MENA Secures VARA Approval for Crypto Derivatives as Regulated Futures Market GrowsBlockchain Reporter

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".