PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
September 30 6%-2.0ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
55 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
90,3 €
Liquidez
18,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-14.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
18/08/26, 23:37 UTC30/09/26, 19:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iran target Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Qatar by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target an Arab country by which date?
PolymarketWill the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWill the US bomb Oman by the end of September?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump bomb Oman?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Oman through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Oman.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.