Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
PolíticaOne-OffEspaçoTecnologiaGeopolíticaOriente MédioEuropa3d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.3%
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Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado26/08/26, 16:04 UTC31/10/26, 11:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if Iran and Oman jointly announce, adopt, or sign a permanent framework for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by 11:59 PM UTC on October 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- A temporary route, an agreement merely to continue talks, or a unilateral proposal does not count.
- Source: Associated Press.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
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