PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
October 31 74%+14.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
43 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
434,7 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
33.0% / 39.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-24.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
9/09/26, 21:23 UTC31/10/26, 20:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.