PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
September 15 51.4%Ajustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
29 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
374,5 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
11.0% / 99.0%
Spread
88.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
8/09/26, 18:49 UTC30/09/26, 20:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Iraq.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran target Iraq by which date??
- A Polymarket cota September 15 em 51% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran target Iraq by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Iran target Iraq by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Iran target Iraq by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).