PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoLiquidado pelo provedor, mercado por mercado
Resolvido: 8 de out. de 2026, 00:31
Este evento não tem um único vencedor. O provedor liquidou cada mercado separadamente; cada mercado mostra seu próprio resultado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 8 de out. de 2026, 00:21 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
September 150%
October 31100%
September 30100%
October 31Ganhou
September 30Ganhou
September 15Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iran target Jordan by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Egypt by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target the United Arab Emirates by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel attack Iraq in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Iraq.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.