Probabilidade implícita atual
$7.000+ 56.6%-5.0ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
761,4 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
19.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
3
Variação 7d
+4.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
3/04/26, 15:13 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period
Manifold MarketsHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed decision in December?
Manifold MarketsHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release.
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart.
- If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
- The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para $7.000+ é de 53%. As cotações diferem cerca de 6 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm $7.000+ 53% · 2 plataformas · 6 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will ground beef hit __ in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota $7.000+ em 57% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Onde mais Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless.