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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 14%
Qualidade do mercado

80 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

1 mil €

Liquidez

66,5 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

13.8% / 14.4%

Spread

4.3%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

30/01/26, 23:3231/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes14%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
  • The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
  • The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.