KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 95%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
20,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
3.0% / 4.9%
Spread
1.9 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
6/01/26, 22:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsAlberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItRegras
If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 5%. As cotações diferem cerca de 1 ponto percentual entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 5% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 95% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.