Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaEuropeUS Politics3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 96%-0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
175 €
Liquidez
13,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
4.2% / 4.4%
Spread
0.2 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
8
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
12/01/26, 22:57 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 5%. As cotações diferem cerca de 1 ponto percentual entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 5% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues