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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaEurope6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 5%
Qualidade do mercado

71 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

2 €

Liquidez

13,3 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

5.1% / 5.2%

Spread

2.0%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

-0.1%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

12/01/26, 22:5831/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes5%

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

6m
Sim
Sim
4%
Não
Não
96%
24 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total477,1 €
Volume 24h0 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.