Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaEuropeUS Politics5m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualNão 95%
Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,2 €
Liquidez
12,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
5.2% / 5.6%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
12/01/26, 22:5731/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes5%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 95% | +90pt | 4,2 € | 12,1 mil € | há 6 minutos | |
 Kalshi87% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 95% | +90pt | 0 € | 20,9 mil € | há 26 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
5m
95%
5%
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaPerto da resolução
Volume total49,6 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$53 de jul.22d de dados27 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.