Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
PolíticaCommoditiesWeatherGeopolítica3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualIngria 34%Líder entre 12 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado17/10/25, 10:23 UTC30/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- An option resolves to YES if, for that region, all three of the following occur on or before 31 December 2039:
- A formal independence referendum is held.
- Defined as a formal vote organized in-person or online by a recognized local authority, an established exile government, or a clearly significant grassroots movement.
- The referendum must pose the explicit question of secession and full sovereignty from the Russian Federation.
- A majority of valid votes cast must be “Yes.”
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota Ingria em 34% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? é resolvido?
- Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria