KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaMiddle East5m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualNão 93%
Qualidade do mercado
77 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
3,6 mil €
Liquidez
17,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
7.2% / 7.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+3.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
1/05/26, 22:1531/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes7%
Tendência de volume
$4.1k3 de jul.23d de dados27 de jul.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.