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  3. KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

0.5% (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaMiddle East6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 8%
Qualidade do mercado

61 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

16,8 mil €

Liquidez

15,8 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-0.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

1/05/26, 22:1731/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes8%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
  • A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
  • The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
  • A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
  • A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
  • The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
  • A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.