PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 94%
Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
43,1 €
Liquidez
8,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
6.1% / 6.2%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
3
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
1/05/26, 22:15 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31??
- A Polymarket cota No em 94% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? é resolvido?
- KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.