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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. US Politics
  3. Will Alberta join the US?
Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

0.1% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 4%
Qualidade do mercado

91 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

1,3 mil €

Liquidez

71,8 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

3.8% / 3.9%

Spread

2.6%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

-1.1%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

6/02/26, 22:4131/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes4%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.