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Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 22:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2028 55%
Before Jan 1, 2028 55%Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
8,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 42 minutos
27/01/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2028
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the Associated PressReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsBBC NewsFinancial TimesThe GuardianPoliticoCNNFox NewsABC NewsCBS NewsNBC NewsAl Jazeera EnglishDeutsche WelleFrance 24 EnglishNHK World-JapanChannel NewsAsiaThe South China Morning PostThe Times of IndiaThe Globe and MailABC News Australia
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies. Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify. Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify. Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.