KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2028 54%
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
7,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
11.0% / 16.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
27/01/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
- Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
- Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2028 em 54% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? é resolvido?
- Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.