PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 45%-4.0%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
100 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
12,2 mil €
Liquidez
183,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
44.0% / 45.0%
Spread
2.3%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-5.5%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
8/07/26, 18:5331/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
No Return to Normal Traffic in 202645%
Tendência de volume
$13.9k8 de jul.19d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- The qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published.
- If data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.