KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
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Preço registado
None 78%Líder entre 3 opções
None 78%Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
230,8 €
Contratos em aberto
1,1 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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NoneSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
7/10/26, 23:30 UTC11/11/26, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · None
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Central Elections Committee
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. The None market resolves Yes if each bloc's seat total is 60 or fewer and No if either bloc's total is 61 or more; it does not measure the seats won by lists outside both blocs. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel.
Regras de cada resultado
- None
- If neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Netanyahu bloc
- If the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Opposition bloc
- If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.