KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualXavier Becerra 95%
Qualidade do mercado
80 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
154,5 €
Liquidez
530,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
95.1% / 95.4%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
10/01/25, 15:003/11/27, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Xavier Becerra95%
Comparar plataformas· Xavier Becerra
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 95% | — | 154,5 € | 530,9 mil € | há 18 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondência · verificado | — | 95% | — | — | — | há 18 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
3m
+1.1pt95%
-1.1pt4.9%
0.1%
Previsão da comunidade29 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — Nohá 9 dias
KALSHIRepublican party — Nohá 9 dias$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 10 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 10 dias$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 10 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 10 dias$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 dias$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 diasTendência de volume
$1762 de jul.27d de dados28 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
926,1 mil €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
764,3 mil €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
669,8 mil €James Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
159,3 mil €Nicolás Maduro: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
MO-01 Democratic nominee?
44,5 mil €Cori Bush: 42%KALSHI
KALSHI
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
18,7 mil €Karen Bass: 62%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
CFTC seeks urgent ruling on Minnesota prediction market banCrypto News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.NewsRegras
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.