KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualXavier Becerra 95%+0.3pt
Qualidade do mercado
86 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
2,9 mil €
Liquidez
533,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
5.2% / 5.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
10/01/25, 15:003/11/27, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Steve Hilton5%
Comparar plataformas· Xavier Becerra
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 95% | — | 2,9 mil € | 533,8 mil € | há 18 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondência · verificado | — | 95% | — | — | — | há 18 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
3m
+1.1pt95%
-1.1pt4.9%
0.1%
Previsão da comunidade29 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — Nohá 9 dias
KALSHIRepublican party — Nohá 9 dias$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 10 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 10 dias$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 10 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 10 dias$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 dias$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 diasTendência de volume
$3.3k2 de jul.27d de dados28 de jul.
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If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.