Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 11 de jun. de 2026, 17:45 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Previsão da comunidade atualDemocratic Party 97.8%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
27
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 45 dias
Desatualizado10/04/24, 17:564/11/26, 7:59
Tendências
0.2%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Democratic Party98%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral80% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 95% | — | 96,5 € | 530,7 mil € | há 14 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 98% | — | — | — | há 45 dias |
Também disponível em Kalshi
California Governor winner?
0.4 pts1a
-0.4pt94.1%
5.9%
78 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total1 M €
Volume 24h96,5 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — Nohá 8 dias
KALSHIRepublican party — Nohá 8 dias$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 9 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 9 dias$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 9 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 9 dias$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 dias
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 dias$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yeshá 11 dias
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This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.