Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocratic Party 96%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
29
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+1.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado10/04/24, 17:56 UTC4/11/26, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 88%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 93%
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Democratic Party em 96% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? é resolvido?
- California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de novembro de 2026.
- Como California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- Onde mais California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Futuur, Kalshi, PredictIt, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).