Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual6. Never in 2026 99%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado5/04/26, 20:431/01/27, 0:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
- Também disponível em Kalshi — When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? · Before Jul 1, 2027 47%
Mercados abertos
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 351 mil
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt36.1%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.7%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.3%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 31-1.0pt86%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Volume total
- € 19,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 101,7 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...?
- A Manifold Markets cota 6. Never in 2026 em 99% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... é resolvido?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Onde mais Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.