PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Lebanon 9%Líder entre 16 opções
Qualidade do mercado
76 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
3,5 mil €
Liquidez
321,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-4.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
1/06/26, 17:50 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercados abertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 107,6 mil
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,5 mil
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31??
- A Polymarket cota Lebanon em 9% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? é resolvido?
- Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.