Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
0.4% (24h)One-OffMiddle East5m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualSim 7%+0.4%
Qualidade do mercado
91 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
182,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
6.8% / 6.9%
Spread
1.5%
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
8/01/26, 15:001/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes7%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 93% | +86pt | 1,1 mil € | 182,6 mil € | há 17 minutos | |
 Polymarket92% de correspondência · auto | Média | 95% | +88pt | 187,6 € | 33 mil € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5m
95%
5%
56 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total543,8 mil €
Volume 24h187,6 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.7k93.6%KALSHINohá 4 dias
KALSHINohá 4 dias$6.8k94.5%KALSHINohá 4 dias
KALSHINohá 4 diasTendência de volume
$1.3k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.