Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffMiddle East3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 94%
Qualidade do mercado
77 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
139,7 €
Liquidez
179 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
5.7% / 6.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
8/01/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Regras
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:government of the United Statesforeign ministry of the United Stateshead of state of the United Stateshead of government of United Statesgovernment and foreign ministry of IranThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBBCNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 94% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.