PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atual
Google 56%+9.0%Líder entre 14 opções
Qualidade do mercado
80 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
520,7 €
Liquidez
64,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
54.0% / 58.0%
Spread
7.4%
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
-1.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
30/04/26, 19:3031/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Resultado escolhido
Google56%
Também disponível em Kalshi
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
1.0%6m
-1.0%19%
-5.0%20%
-2.0%48%
+9 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total2,2 mil €
Volume 24h6 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.