KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
OpenAI 36%Líder entre 12 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,9 mil €
Liquidez
119,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
1/01/26, 05:01 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
KalshiWill a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
KalshiRegras
If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)
- If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- € 241,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 128 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 349,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year??
- A Kalshi cota OpenAI em 36% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? é resolvido?
- Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.