PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
#5 100%+61.3ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
28,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
2
Variação 7d
-11.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
2/04/26, 21:57 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
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PolymarketWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
- This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
AirdropPOLYMARKETLAPTOP airdrop by which date?
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETLAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by which date?
- 30,-12.5pt57%
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POLYMARKETHyperliquid airdrop by ?
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- June 30, 2027-3.5pt20%
- 2026+0.5pt16%
+3 mais resultados
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POLYMARKETNext Token Sale on Coinbase by which date?
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- November 30,26%
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- Volume total
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KALSHIWho will launch a token this year?
- Arc+1.0pt28%
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+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
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LIMITLESSLAPTOP airdrop by which date?
- September 30, 202697.8%
- September 9, 202693.2%
- December 31, 202650%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 110,2
- Volume 24h
- € 105,1
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31??
- A Polymarket cota #5 em 100% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31? é resolvido?
- Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Onde mais Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.