KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualSim 17%-2.0%
Qualidade do mercado
80 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
278,8 €
Liquidez
33,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
4/01/26, 3:001/01/27, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes17%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral82% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 97% | — | 671,7 € | 35,4 mil € | há 7 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Alta | 83% | — | 278,8 € | 33,6 mil € | há 27 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
0.3%5m
-0.3%97%
-2.0%43%
20%
+1 mais resultados
91 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total91,5 mil €
Volume 24h671,7 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$3172 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.