KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 89%
Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
36,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
9.0% / 11.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
4/01/26, 03:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- € 241,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 128 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 349,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year??
- A Kalshi cota No em 89% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? é resolvido?
- Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.