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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. IA
  3. Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

2.0% (24h)IATecnologiaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 12%+2.0%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

1,2 €

Liquidez

293,1 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

7.0% / 11.0%

Spread

57.1%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

4/01/26, 3:001/01/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes12%

Regras

If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

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Regras

If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.