Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOct-Dec 2026 89.2%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado2/01/26, 23:32 UTC1/01/27, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiRegras
Resolution Criteria
- Polymarket has officially confirmed plans to launch its native POLY token and distribute it through an airdrop to users, with the announcement made on October 24, 2025.
- The market resolves YES if the token is publicly tradeable on at least one major cryptocurrency exchange (such as Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, or OKX) by the specified date.
- Resolution will be verified through official exchange listings and Polymarket's official announcements.
- The market resolves NO if no such launch occurs by the deadline.
- The token launch is projected to occur sometime in 2026, well after the U.S. platform is fully operational and stable.