KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Arc 41%+12.0ptLíder entre 14 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
547,2 €
Liquidez
20,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
3/01/26, 15:00 UTC31/12/26, 18:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketWill Theo launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketWill Opensea launch a token by which date?
PolymarketWill Pacifica launch a token by December 31, 2026?
LimitlessWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
LimitlessWill Polymarket launch its official token in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:CoinDeskCoinTelegraphThe BlockDecryptDeFi LlamaCoinMarketCapCoinGeckoEtherscanPolygonscanArbiscanBase ExplorerSolscanBinance Chain Explorermajor cryptocurrency exchanges including BinanceCoinbaseKrakenOKXThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosThe InformationThe Wall Street Journal
- A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing.
- This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value.
- NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.
- If MetaMask launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Exponent launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
CryptoPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt100%
- $25M+6.0pt100%
- $50M+12.2pt99%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,250 or above98%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,1 mi
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,589.37 target
- Yes58%
- No42%
- Volume total
- € 563,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 525,6 mil
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- 72,000+0.9pt100%
- 74,000+0.8pt99%
- 76,000+5.1pt96%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $78,100 or above99%
- $77,900 or above99%
- $78,000 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 357,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 352,8 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will launch a token this year??
- A Kalshi cota Arc em 41% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will launch a token this year? é resolvido?
- Who will launch a token this year? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Who will launch a token this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.