KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
gemini-4-argon-high 54%Líder entre 3 opções
gemini-4-argon-high 54%Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
17,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto
16,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
30/09/26, 17:30 UTC31/10/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Regras de cada resultado
- gemini-4-argon-high
- If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5.5-high
- If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-fable-5.1-max
- If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.