US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

3.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffIA5m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

Não 82.2%+0.0pt

Qualidade do mercado

63 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

110,9 €

Liquidez

2,8 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

17.0% / 18.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Spread apertado

Variação 7d

-2.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 13 minutos

3/07/26, 21:5131/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Yes18%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market resolves "Yes" if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action that has the effect of generally removing public access within the US to an Anthropic AI model, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US.
Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target.
An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US).
A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance).

Tendência de volume

$126

3 de jul.24d de dados27 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

1,1 mil €

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

The Big Claude by Anthropics Market 2026

993,2 €

Haiku gets it's 5 version: 51.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?

659,1 €

Sim: 11.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

337,2 €

Sim: 11%

POLYMARKET

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

237,4 €

Sim: 14%

POLYMARKET

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

41,3 €

Sim: 31%

POLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,828.02+0.15%

EthereumETH$1,938.21+1.25%

SolanaSOL$75.58+0.27%

XRPXRP$1.09-1.20%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0718-1.22%

BNBBNB$575.07+0.36%

Notícias Relacionadas

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Regras

Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US.
Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target.
An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US).
A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance).

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

3.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffIA5m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

Não 82.2%+0.0pt

Qualidade do mercado

63 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

110,9 €

Liquidez

2,8 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

17.0% / 18.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Spread apertado

Variação 7d

-2.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 13 minutos

3/07/26, 21:5131/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Yes18%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US.
Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target.
An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US).
A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance).

Tendência de volume

$126

3 de jul.24d de dados27 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

1,1 mil €

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

The Big Claude by Anthropics Market 2026

993,2 €

Haiku gets it's 5 version: 51.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?

659,1 €

Sim: 11.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

337,2 €

Sim: 11%

POLYMARKET

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

237,4 €

Sim: 14%

POLYMARKET

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

41,3 €

Sim: 31%

POLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,828.02+0.15%

EthereumETH$1,938.21+1.25%

SolanaSOL$75.58+0.27%

XRPXRP$1.09-1.20%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0718-1.22%

BNBBNB$575.07+0.36%

Notícias Relacionadas

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Regras

Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US.
Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target.
An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US).
A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance).