PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualNão 86.1%+0.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
221,9 €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
13.0% / 14.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-8.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
14/07/26, 2:1431/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes14%
Tendência de volume
$25314 de jul.12d de dados28 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action with the intent to ban distribution to, access for, or use of an open source AI model by the general public within the US, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
- “Open source AI model" refers to a general-purpose large language or multimodal foundation model whose weights and source are publicly downloadable and usable on user-controlled hardware (e.g., Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek, Qwen). "Source available" AI models will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable use.
- Narrow or special-purpose models (e.g., embedding, moderation, or single-modality media generation models) and deprecated, research-only, or preview-only models will not qualify.
- To qualify, a ban must target ordinary public access to the model across ordinary public channels within the US.
- A ban with the intention to remove access from a single channel is not sufficient.