Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoAmérica LatinaCrime e justiça2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 82%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado3/01/26, 19:44 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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PredictItRegras
Resolution Criteria
- Maduro has been captured by US forces and is being sent to the US to face criminal charges.
- This market resolves YES if Maduro receives a pardon, clemency, immunity deal, or any other form of legal protection that prevents prosecution on the charges he currently faces.
- This includes any agreement that results in dropped charges, case dismissal, or immunity from prosecution in exchange for cooperation, exile, or other concessions.
- The market resolves NO if Maduro is prosecuted and convicted, or if he dies, escapes custody, or the charges are otherwise pursued without a deal granting him legal protection.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. Department of Justice, presidential proclamations, court filings, or credible reporting from major news outlets confirming the terms of any deal.