Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoLatin AmericaCrime & Justice3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79.6%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado3/01/26, 19:44 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- Maduro has been captured by US forces and is being sent to the US to face criminal charges.
- This market resolves YES if Maduro receives a pardon, clemency, immunity deal, or any other form of legal protection that prevents prosecution on the charges he currently faces.
- This includes any agreement that results in dropped charges, case dismissal, or immunity from prosecution in exchange for cooperation, exile, or other concessions.
- The market resolves NO if Maduro is prosecuted and convicted, or if he dies, escapes custody, or the charges are otherwise pursued without a deal granting him legal protection.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. Department of Justice, presidential proclamations, court filings, or credible reporting from major news outlets confirming the terms of any deal.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government? é resolvido?
- Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria