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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Economia
  3. Social Security Insolvent by...?
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

15.0% (24h)EconomiaOne-OffUS Politics2a
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
2028
2028 27%-22.5%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

87 €

Liquidez

3,2 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

6.0% / 19.0%

Spread

216.7%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

10/06/26, 2:421/01/29, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

202827%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
  • A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
  • A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
  • The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Japan recession in 2026?

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0 €
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Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

5,1 €
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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
  • A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
  • A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
  • The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.