KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 81%
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
68,5 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
14.0% / 19.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
9/06/26, 17:00 UTC1/01/33, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Congress enact an increase in the retirement age for Social Security before the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill Social Security cease to be by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill social security go bankrupt by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I still feel that it is important to protect my social security number (SSN) in 2050?
Manifold MarketsSocial Security Insolvent by which date?
PolymarketAlaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
KalshiRegras
If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 714,8 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-2.0pt13%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 295,4 mil
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 mais resultados
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 mais resultados
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted??
- A Kalshi cota No em 81% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted? é resolvido?
- Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2033.
- Como Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.