PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31, 99%-0.1ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
956,3 €
Liquidez
2,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
5.8 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-40.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
24/07/26, 21:56 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4).
- The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
- Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abertos
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- November 30,+1.0pt85%
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- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
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- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
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- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
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- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
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- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next Kimi K model released by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31, em 99% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next Kimi K model released by which date? é resolvido?
- Next Kimi K model released by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Next Kimi K model released by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.