KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
claude-fable-5.1-max 80.7%Líder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
7,2 mil €
Liquidez
16,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
31/08/26, 17:3030/09/26, 14:00
Tendências
Regras
If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
AI
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- September 30-0.1pt99%
- October 31+0.6pt99%
- September 15+0.6pt98%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 457,4 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-4.0pt59.2%
- ChatGPT-1.3pt24.3%
- Grok+0.9pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 8,7 mi
POLYMARKETGPT-6 released by which date?
- October 31,+9.1pt100%
- November 30,+6.8pt100%
- December 31,+5.5pt100%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETOpenAI's Astra released on?
- September 4+27.7pt37%
- September 17+22.2pt23%
- September 24+22.1pt23%
+27 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude-10.0pt76.5%
- ChatGPT+5.0pt16.7%
- Gemini+2.0pt2.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 149,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Before Sep 16, 2026+14.0pt99%
- Before Oct 1, 2026+9.0pt99%
- Before Nov 1, 2026+6.0pt99%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- AI capability growth this year?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Top AI model in September??
- A Kalshi cota claude-fable-5.1-max em 81% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Top AI model in September? é resolvido?
- Top AI model in September? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Top AI model in September? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.