PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31, 65%-8.0ptLíder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
50 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
30,9 mil €
Liquidez
44,5 mil €
Alta liquidezComments
69
Variação 7d
-1.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
7/08/25, 20:451/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
- GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm December 31, 2026 78% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 4 pt
- Também disponível em Futuur — GPT-6 released by ...? · December 31, 2026 68%
- Também disponível em Gemini — GPT-6 released by...? · December 31, 2026 75%
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 158,8 mil
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 168,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 155,2 mil
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,9 mi
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
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- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- XRP price on August 21
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- ZEC price on August 21
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de GPT-6 released by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31, em 65% em 22 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando GPT-6 released by which date? é resolvido?
- GPT-6 released by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como GPT-6 released by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Onde mais GPT-6 released by which date? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Futuur, Gemini.