PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
October 31 88%+0.5ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
69 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
20,5 mil €
Liquidez
20,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoComments
16
Variação 7d
-8.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
1/08/26, 21:5231/10/26, 23:59
Tendências
0%
Regras
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.4pt97%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 201 mil
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+10.0pt95%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,-1.0pt89%
- October 31,+7.0pt81%
- October 15,+42.5pt66%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.8pt68.6%
- Grok-1.8pt9.8%
- ChatGPT-2.5pt9.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,8 mi
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani+2.0pt34%
- Pope Leo XIV-1.0pt17%
- Donald Trump+1.0pt14%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 864,5 mil
GEMINIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy16.3%
- Chris Gotterup9.3%
- Wyndham Clark8.4%
+30 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28,5 mil
- Best AI this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- XRP price on August 31
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- New York Y vs Baltimore
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de OpenAI’s Astra released by which date??
- A Polymarket cota October 31 em 88% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? é resolvido?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de outubro de 2026.
- Como OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.